The U.S. Congress will extend emergency benefits

Remain overweight stocks DJIA, +1.78% versus bonds TMUBMUSD10Y, 0.673% over the coming 12 months, the BCA analysts suggest, with a weighting toward cyclical sectors over defensives and non-U.S. stocks over domestic selections. The dollar DXY, 0.04% will continue to weaken, which will boost commodity prices. Also, look for both WTI CL00, -0.39% and brent crude BRN00, -0.42% prices to rise much more than futures markets currently suggest: BCA’s own forecast is for a price between $60 and $80 for both benchmarks into 2021.

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Despite an overall bullish landscape for riskier assets, there will be “considerable near-term dislocations, particularly for airlines, hotels, commercial real estate operators and developers, and associated lenders to these sectors” as the world stays hunkered down and considers permanent changes to old ways of doing things, like business travel and working in offices.